Crystal Palace vs Burnley Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Wed 11 Feb, 19:30
Crystal Palace
23 Full time
Burnley
Crystal Palace 2–3 Burnley

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (60%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 60%
Draw 24%
Away 16%

💡 Crystal Palace are favourites — about 60 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1363 Crystal Palace rated higher
Form Index DLLDW v DDDLL Crystal Palace 1.0 · Burnley 0.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Crystal Palace v Burnley

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Why we predict this

  • Crystal Palace is the stronger side on Power Rating (1475 vs 1363).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Crystal Palace
Form Index
Crystal Palace
Goal expectation
Crystal Palace
Home advantage
Crystal Palace

Green = favours Crystal Palace · Blue = favours Burnley. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Crystal PalaceDLLDW1.0 ppg
BurnleyDDDLL0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Crystal Palace1475
Burnley1363
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 28% · 26%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning53% · 39% · 8%

AI match preview

Crystal Palace are favored to edge Burnley with a 60% probability of a home win, supported by an expected goals tally of 1.55 compared to Burnley's 1.12. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a closely contested match, with a 24% chance of a draw and the most likely scoreline being 1-1. Fans can anticipate a moderately open game, as there's roughly a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% likelihood that both teams will score; remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.12

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Selhurst Park London, England Capacity 25,486 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Crystal Palace 2–3 Burnley
Dec 2025 Burnley 0–1 Crystal Palace