Sunderland vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Wed 11 Feb, 20:15
Sunderland
01 Full time
Liverpool
Sunderland 0–1 Liverpool

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 25%
Away 39%

💡 Liverpool have a slight edge — leaning Liverpool, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 39.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1497 v 1523 Liverpool rated higher
Form Index LWLWL v DDLWL Sunderland 1.2 · Liverpool 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sunderland v Liverpool

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1497 vs 1523).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Liverpool
Form Index
Sunderland
Goal expectation
Sunderland
Home advantage
Sunderland

Green = favours Sunderland · Blue = favours Liverpool. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SunderlandLWLWL1.2 ppg
LiverpoolDDLWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Sunderland1497
Liverpool1523
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model56% · 25% · 19%
Power Rating43% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning53% · 30% · 18%

AI match preview

Sunderland host Liverpool in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 39%, with Sunderland close behind at 36% and a 25% chance of a draw. The expected goals suggest Sunderland could edge Liverpool 1.89 to 1.04, yet the most likely scoreline remains a 1-1 draw. With a 56% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this match promises potential attacking action; however, remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.89 – 1.04

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadium of Light Sunderland, England Capacity 49,000 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Sunderland 0–1 Liverpool
Dec 2025 Liverpool 1–1 Sunderland