Tottenham vs Arsenal Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 22 Feb, 16:30
Tottenham
14 Full time
Arsenal
Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (63%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 17%
Draw 20%
Away 63%

💡 Arsenal are strong favourites — roughly 6 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 74.7/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 74.7
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1459 v 1635 Arsenal rated higher
Form Index LDDLL v LWWDD Tottenham 0.4 · Arsenal 1.6 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Tottenham v Arsenal

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Why we predict this

  • Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1635 vs 1459).
  • Arsenal is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arsenal
Form Index
Arsenal
Goal expectation
Arsenal
Home advantage
Tottenham

Green = favours Tottenham · Blue = favours Arsenal. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TottenhamLDDLL0.4 ppg
ArsenalLWWDD1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Tottenham1459
Arsenal1635
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model18% · 28% · 54%
Power Rating29% · 17% · 54%
Machine-learning16% · 10% · 74%

AI match preview

Tottenham host Arsenal in a Premier League clash where the model favors an Arsenal win with a 63% probability, though a draw remains a notable 20%. The expected goals suggest a tight match with Arsenal slightly ahead (1.60 to 0.83), yet the most likely score is 1-1, reflecting a potentially balanced contest. With under 2.5 goals and both teams to score probabilities below 50%, this game could hinge on key moments—remember, these projections are statistical estimates; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.83 – 1.60

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium London, England Capacity 62,850 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Tottenham 1–4 Arsenal
Nov 2025 Arsenal 4–1 Tottenham