Newcastle vs Everton Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 28 Feb, 15:00
Newcastle
23 Full time
Everton
Newcastle 2–3 Everton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 25%
Away 29%

💡 Newcastle are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 51.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 51.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1489 v 1487 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index LLLWL v DDWLL Newcastle 0.6 · Everton 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Newcastle v Everton

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1489 vs 1487).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Everton
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Newcastle

Green = favours Newcastle · Blue = favours Everton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NewcastleLLLWL0.6 ppg
EvertonDDWLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Newcastle1489
Everton1487
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 31% · 36%
Power Rating47% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning39% · 21% · 40%

AI match preview

Newcastle hosts Everton in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 47%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score similarly, with an expected goals tally near 1.2 each, making a 1-1 draw the most likely scoreline. With just a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability of both teams scoring, this match could be finely balanced—remember these projections are based on statistics and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.24

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St James' Park Newcastle, England Capacity 52,305 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Newcastle 2–3 Everton
Nov 2025 Everton 1–4 Newcastle