Leeds vs Sunderland Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Tue 3 Mar, 19:30
Leeds
01 Full time
Sunderland
Leeds 0–1 Sunderland

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 25%
Away 24%

💡 Leeds are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1468 Leeds rated higher
Form Index LWDDL v WLLLD Leeds 1.0 · Sunderland 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1482 vs 1468).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.5 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leeds
Form Index
Leeds
Goal expectation
Leeds
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Sunderland. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsLWDDL1.0 ppg
SunderlandWLLLD0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1482
Sunderland1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 29% · 15%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning49% · 20% · 32%

AI match preview

Leeds are narrowly favored to secure a home win against Sunderland, with a 52% probability and a modest confidence score of 59/100. The model projects a low-scoring affair, estimating Leeds to score 1.54 goals to Sunderland’s 0.68, making a 1-0 result the most likely outcome. With only a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and 40% probability for both teams to score, expect a tightly contested match; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.54 – 0.68

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 40%

No 60%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Leeds 0–1 Sunderland
Dec 2025 Sunderland 1–1 Leeds