Arsenal vs Everton Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 14 Mar, 17:30
Arsenal
20 Full time
Everton
Arsenal 2–0 Everton

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (65%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 65%
Draw 22%
Away 13%

💡 Arsenal are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 77.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 77.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1664 v 1508 Arsenal rated higher
Form Index DDWWW v WLLWW Arsenal 2.2 · Everton 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Arsenal v Everton

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Why we predict this

  • Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1664 vs 1508).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arsenal
Form Index
Arsenal
Goal expectation
Arsenal
Home advantage
Arsenal

Green = favours Arsenal · Blue = favours Everton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ArsenalDDWWW2.2 ppg
EvertonWLLWW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Arsenal1664
Everton1508
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model58% · 28% · 14%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning59% · 31% · 10%

AI match preview

Arsenal are favored to secure a home win against Everton with a 65% probability, reflecting a strong likelihood of controlling the match. The expected goals suggest a tight contest with Arsenal scoring 1.60 on average to Everton's 0.69, making a 1-0 victory the most probable outcome. While the chance of both teams scoring or the match exceeding 2.5 goals is below 50%, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.60 – 0.69

Most likely score

1-0

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Emirates Stadium London, England Capacity 60,704 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Arsenal 2–0 Everton
Dec 2025 Everton 0–1 Arsenal