Everton vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 21 Mar, 17:30
Everton
30 Full time
Chelsea
Everton 3–0 Chelsea

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (42%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 31%
Draw 27%
Away 42%

💡 Chelsea have a slight edge — leaning Chelsea, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1501 v 1563 Chelsea rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Everton v Chelsea

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Why we predict this

  • Chelsea is the stronger side on Power Rating (1563 vs 1501).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.9 expected goals).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Chelsea
Form Index
Everton
Goal expectation
Chelsea
Home advantage
Everton

Green = favours Everton · Blue = favours Chelsea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EvertonLLWWL1.2 ppg
ChelseaDDLWL1 ppg
Power Rating
Everton1501
Chelsea1563
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model19% · 25% · 56%
Power Rating37% · 27% · 36%
Machine-learning37% · 29% · 34%

AI match preview

Everton host Chelsea in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 42%, though a draw remains a strong possibility with a 27% chance. Expected goals suggest Chelsea may edge the scoring with 1.91 expected goals versus Everton's 1.04, yet the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1 draw. With a 56% probability for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open contest, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.91

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 56%

No 44%

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Stadium & conditions

Hill Dickinson Stadium Liverpool, England Capacity 52,888 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Mar 2026 Everton 3–0 Chelsea
Dec 2025 Chelsea 2–0 Everton