Arsenal vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 11 Apr, 13:30
Arsenal
12 Full time
Bournemouth
Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (68%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 68%
Draw 20%
Away 12%

💡 Arsenal are strong favourites — roughly 7 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore High · 81.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 81.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1671 v 1507 Arsenal rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Arsenal v Bournemouth

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Why we predict this

  • Arsenal is the stronger side on Power Rating (1671 vs 1507).
  • Arsenal is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.9 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Arsenal
Form Index
Arsenal
Goal expectation
Arsenal
Home advantage
Arsenal

Green = favours Arsenal · Blue = favours Bournemouth. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ArsenalDWWWW2.6 ppg
BournemouthDDDDD1 ppg
Power Rating
Arsenal1671
Bournemouth1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model78% · 14% · 7%
Power Rating69% · 12% · 19%
Machine-learning69% · 28% · 3%

AI match preview

Arsenal are strongly favored to secure a home victory against Bournemouth, with a 68% probability and an expected scoreline around 2-0. The model suggests a high chance of goals, with over 2.5 goals predicted at 72% and both teams scoring in 55% of scenarios. These projections are statistical estimates and should be considered carefully; please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.88 – 0.85

Most likely score

2-0

10% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Emirates Stadium London, England Capacity 60,704 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Arsenal 1–2 Bournemouth
Jan 2026 Bournemouth 2–3 Arsenal