Brentford vs Everton Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 11 Apr, 16:00
Brentford
22 Full time
Everton
Brentford 2–2 Everton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 26%
Away 30%

💡 Brentford have a slight edge — leaning Brentford, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 47.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 47.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1518 v 1520 Everton rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1518 vs 1520).
  • Everton is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Everton
Goal expectation
Brentford
Home advantage
Brentford

Green = favours Brentford · Blue = favours Everton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BrentfordLWDDD1.2 ppg
EvertonLWWLW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Brentford1518
Everton1520
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 31% · 28%
Power Rating46% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning41% · 22% · 38%

AI match preview

Brentford host Everton in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 43%, though a draw or away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both sides are expected to score, with an anticipated tight scoreline around 1-1 reflecting a balanced contest. With just a 40% chance of over 2.5 goals and BTTS at 48%, this match could hinge on narrow margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.28 – 1.02

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 40%

Under 60%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Gtech Community Stadium London, England Capacity 17,250 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Brentford 2–2 Everton
Jan 2026 Everton 2–4 Brentford