Burnley vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 11 Apr, 16:00
Burnley
02 Full time
Brighton
Burnley 0–2 Brighton

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (58%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 21%
Draw 21%
Away 58%

💡 Brighton are favourites — about 58 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1362 v 1523 Brighton rated higher
Form Index 0.4 v 2.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Brighton is the stronger side on Power Rating (1523 vs 1362).
  • Brighton is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 0.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brighton
Form Index
Brighton
Goal expectation
Brighton
Home advantage
Burnley

Green = favours Burnley · Blue = favours Brighton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BurnleyDLLDL0.4 ppg
BrightonWWLWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Burnley1362
Brighton1523
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 31% · 45%
Power Rating30% · 18% · 52%
Machine-learning14% · 9% · 77%

AI match preview

Burnley hosts Brighton in a Premier League clash where the model favors an away win at 58% probability, though a draw and home victory each stand at 21%. Expected goals suggest a close contest with 0.98 for Burnley and 1.38 for Brighton, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With under 2.5 goals and both teams to score hovering just below 50%, this match could be finely balanced—remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.98 – 1.38

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 42%

Under 58%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Burnley 0–2 Brighton
Jan 2026 Brighton 2–0 Burnley