Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 15:00
Crystal Palace
21 Full time
Newcastle
Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (29%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 29%
Away 35%

💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.

Our pickDraw
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1475 v 1490 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1475 vs 1490).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
Crystal Palace
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Crystal Palace

Green = favours Crystal Palace · Blue = favours Newcastle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Crystal PalaceLWLWD1.4 ppg
NewcastleLLWWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Crystal Palace1475
Newcastle1490
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 35% · 36%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning46% · 31% · 23%

AI match preview

Crystal Palace and Newcastle are set for a closely contested Premier League clash, with the model suggesting a near-even chance of a home win (36%) or an away victory (35%), while a draw sits slightly behind at 29%. The expected goals indicate a tight, low-scoring match (0.89-1.01), with a 0-0 scoreline being the most probable outcome. With only a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score, this game may hinge on defensive solidity and small margins—remember, these projections are statistical estimates and gambling should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.89 – 1.01

Most likely score

0-0

17% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 30%

Under 70%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%

No 61%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Selhurst Park London, England Capacity 25,486 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Crystal Palace 2–1 Newcastle
Jan 2026 Newcastle 2–0 Crystal Palace