Nott'm Forest vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 12 Apr, 15:00
Nott'm Forest
11 Full time
Aston Villa
Nott'm Forest 1–1 Aston Villa

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (37%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 28%
Away 36%

💡 Nott'm Forest have a slight edge — leaning Nott'm Forest, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 37.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1526 Aston Villa rated higher
Form Index 1 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nott'm Forest v Aston Villa

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Why we predict this

  • Aston Villa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1526 vs 1456).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Aston Villa
Form Index
Nott'm Forest
Goal expectation
Aston Villa
Home advantage
Nott'm Forest

Green = favours Nott'm Forest · Blue = favours Aston Villa. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Nott'm ForestLLDDW1 ppg
Aston VillaDLLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Nott'm Forest1456
Aston Villa1526
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model26% · 32% · 43%
Power Rating36% · 27% · 37%
Machine-learning38% · 22% · 40%

AI match preview

Nott'm Forest host Aston Villa in a closely matched Premier League encounter, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 37% versus 36% for the visitors. The expected goals tally suggests a tight game with a probable 1-1 draw, reflected in a moderate 46% chance both teams score and a 39% likelihood the match exceeds 2.5 goals. These projections highlight a balanced contest, but remember they are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.95 – 1.29

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

The City Ground Nottingham, England Capacity 30,404 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Nott'm Forest 1–1 Aston Villa
Jan 2026 Aston Villa 3–1 Nott'm Forest