Everton vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 19 Apr, 15:00
Everton
12 Full time
Liverpool
Everton 1–2 Liverpool

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (36%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 36%
Draw 28%
Away 36%

💡 Everton have a slight edge — leaning Everton, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 36.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 36.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1522 v 1538 Liverpool rated higher
Form Index 2 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Everton v Liverpool

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1522 vs 1538).
  • Everton is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Liverpool
Form Index
Everton
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Everton

Green = favours Everton · Blue = favours Liverpool. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EvertonWWLWD2 ppg
LiverpoolWLDLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Everton1522
Liverpool1538
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 29% · 35%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning49% · 30% · 22%

AI match preview

Everton and Liverpool are set for a tightly contested Premier League clash, with both sides sharing an equal 36% chance of victory according to model projections. The expected goals tally is nearly even at 1.39 for Everton and 1.36 for Liverpool, suggesting a balanced encounter likely to produce a 1-1 draw. With a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% chance of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical probabilities and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.39 – 1.36

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 57%

No 43%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Hill Dickinson Stadium Liverpool, England Capacity 52,888 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Everton 1–2 Liverpool
Sept 2025 Liverpool 2–1 Everton