Nott'm Forest vs Burnley Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 19 Apr, 15:00
Nott'm Forest
41 Full time
Burnley
Nott'm Forest 4–1 Burnley

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (59%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 59%
Draw 24%
Away 17%

💡 Nott'm Forest are favourites — about 59 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 69.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 69.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1456 v 1350 Nott'm Forest rated higher
Form Index 1.2 v 0.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nott'm Forest v Burnley

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Why we predict this

  • Nott'm Forest is the stronger side on Power Rating (1456 vs 1350).
  • Nott'm Forest is in clearly better recent form (1.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nott'm Forest
Form Index
Nott'm Forest
Goal expectation
Nott'm Forest
Home advantage
Nott'm Forest

Green = favours Nott'm Forest · Blue = favours Burnley. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Nott'm ForestLDDWD1.2 ppg
BurnleyLLDLL0.2 ppg
Power Rating
Nott'm Forest1456
Burnley1350
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model43% · 29% · 28%
Power Rating64% · 12% · 24%
Machine-learning55% · 37% · 8%

AI match preview

Nottingham Forest enter their Premier League clash with Burnley as favorites, holding a 59% chance of victory according to model projections, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.45 to 1.15. Despite the home side’s edge, the most likely scoreline is a tight 1-1 draw, with both teams finding the net in 54% of simulations. Over 2.5 goals is slightly less likely at 48%, indicating a moderately balanced encounter; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.15

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

The City Ground Nottingham, England Capacity 30,404 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Nott'm Forest 4–1 Burnley
Sept 2025 Burnley 1–1 Nott'm Forest