Bournemouth vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Wed 22 Apr, 21:00
Bournemouth
22 Full time
Leeds
Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 24%
Away 24%

💡 Bournemouth are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1536 v 1497 Bournemouth rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bournemouth v Leeds

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1536 vs 1497).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bournemouth
Form Index
Bournemouth
Goal expectation
Bournemouth
Home advantage
Bournemouth

Green = favours Bournemouth · Blue = favours Leeds. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BournemouthDDDWW1.8 ppg
LeedsLDDWW1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bournemouth1536
Leeds1497
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 27% · 20%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 29%
Machine-learning53% · 25% · 22%

AI match preview

Bournemouth hold a slight edge with a 52% chance of victory against Leeds in this Premier League clash, though a draw or away win each share a 24% probability. The model projects a tight contest with expected goals favoring the home side 1.70 to 0.96, and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 52% probability of both teams scoring, this match could offer balanced action—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.70 – 0.96

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 52%

No 48%

Value bet vs odds

18+ to see value

Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.

Go Premium

Stadium & conditions

Vitality Stadium Bournemouth, England Capacity 11,307 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Bournemouth 2–2 Leeds
Sept 2025 Leeds 2–2 Bournemouth