Burnley vs Man City Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Wed 22 Apr, 21:00
Burnley
01 Full time
Man City
Burnley 0–1 Man City

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (79%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 9%
Draw 12%
Away 79%

💡 Man City are strong favourites — roughly 8 wins in 10 games like this.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore High · 95.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 95.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1340 v 1651 Man City rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Burnley v Man City

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Why we predict this

  • Man City is the stronger side on Power Rating (1651 vs 1340).
  • Man City is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.2 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Man City
Form Index
Man City
Goal expectation
Man City
Home advantage
Burnley

Green = favours Burnley · Blue = favours Man City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BurnleyLDLLL0.2 ppg
Man CityWDDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Burnley1340
Man City1651
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model12% · 23% · 65%
Power Rating17% · 12% · 71%
Machine-learning6% · 4% · 91%

AI match preview

Burnley host Manchester City in a Premier League clash where the model heavily favors an away victory, with a 79% probability and high confidence at 95/100. Expected goals suggest Man City could net nearly two goals while Burnley may struggle to reach one, making a 0-2 scoreline the most likely outcome. While over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are roughly balanced probabilities, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.77 – 1.98

Most likely score

0-2

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 52%

Under 48%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Burnley 0–1 Man City
Sept 2025 Man City 5–1 Burnley