Sunderland vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Fri 24 Apr, 21:00
Sunderland
05 Full time
Nott'm Forest
Sunderland 0–5 Nott'm Forest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 28%
Away 29%

💡 Sunderland have a slight edge — leaning Sunderland, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1482 v 1467 Sunderland rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sunderland v Nott'm Forest

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1482 vs 1467).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.4 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Sunderland
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Sunderland
Home advantage
Sunderland

Green = favours Sunderland · Blue = favours Nott'm Forest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SunderlandWLWWL1.8 ppg
Nott'm ForestDDWDW1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sunderland1482
Nott'm Forest1467
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 30% · 21%
Power Rating49% · 20% · 31%
Machine-learning51% · 28% · 21%

AI match preview

Sunderland hosts Nottingham Forest in a Premier League clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 43% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 28% and an away win at 29%. The expected goals favor Sunderland at 1.45 to 0.86, yet the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a tightly contested match. With a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score, this game could see balanced attacking efforts; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.45 – 0.86

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 41%

Under 59%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadium of Light Sunderland, England Capacity 49,000 · grass
Clear · 9.7°C
Feels like 8.1°C Wind 3 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Apr 2026 Sunderland 0–5 Nott'm Forest
Sept 2025 Nott'm Forest 0–1 Sunderland