Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 3 May, 15:00
Bournemouth
30 Full time
Crystal Palace
Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (54%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 54%
Draw 23%
Away 24%

💡 Bournemouth are favourites — about 54 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 62.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 62.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1533 v 1471 Bournemouth rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 1.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bournemouth v Crystal Palace

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Why we predict this

  • Bournemouth is the stronger side on Power Rating (1533 vs 1471).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bournemouth
Form Index
Bournemouth
Goal expectation
Bournemouth
Home advantage
Bournemouth

Green = favours Bournemouth · Blue = favours Crystal Palace. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BournemouthDDWWD1.8 ppg
Crystal PalaceWDWDL1.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bournemouth1533
Crystal Palace1471
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 31% · 32%
Power Rating57% · 16% · 28%
Machine-learning46% · 25% · 29%

AI match preview

Bournemouth holds a slight edge with a 54% probability of securing a home win against Crystal Palace, though the model suggests a closely contested match with a 23% chance of a draw. Expected goals are nearly even at 1.26 for Bournemouth and 1.15 for Crystal Palace, pointing to a likely tight scoreline, with 1-1 being the most probable outcome. While both teams have a 51% chance to score, the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is relatively low at 43%; these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.15

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Vitality Stadium Bournemouth, England Capacity 11,307 · grass
Overcast · 14.5°C
Feels like 13.3°C Wind 10 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Bournemouth 3–0 Crystal Palace
Oct 2025 Crystal Palace 3–3 Bournemouth