Aston Villa vs Tottenham Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 3 May, 20:00
Aston Villa
12 Full time
Tottenham
Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (47%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 47%
Draw 26%
Away 26%

💡 Aston Villa are favourites — about 47 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1524 v 1410 Aston Villa rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 1 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Aston Villa is the stronger side on Power Rating (1524 vs 1410).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Aston Villa
Form Index
Aston Villa
Goal expectation
Aston Villa
Home advantage
Aston Villa

Green = favours Aston Villa · Blue = favours Tottenham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Aston VillaLWDWL1.4 ppg
TottenhamDLLDW1 ppg
Power Rating
Aston Villa1524
Tottenham1410
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 29% · 30%
Power Rating65% · 12% · 23%
Machine-learning52% · 37% · 12%

AI match preview

Aston Villa and Tottenham are set for a closely contested Premier League clash, with the model slightly favoring a home win at 47% probability and a modest 53/100 confidence level. Expected goals suggest a tight game, projecting 1.43 for Villa and 1.18 for Tottenham, while the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With both teams showing a 54% chance for BTTS and under 50% for over 2.5 goals, this match could see balanced attacking efforts; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.18

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Villa Park Birmingham, England Capacity 42,657 · grass
Overcast · 14.3°C
Feels like 12.7°C Wind 10 km/h Rain chance 11%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Aston Villa 1–2 Tottenham
Oct 2025 Tottenham 1–2 Aston Villa