Chelsea vs Nott'm Forest Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Mon 4 May, 16:00
Chelsea
13 Full time
Nott'm Forest
Chelsea 1–3 Nott'm Forest

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 22%
Away 25%

💡 Chelsea are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 60.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 60.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1499 v 1494 Chelsea rated higher
Form Index 0 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Chelsea v Nott'm Forest

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1499 vs 1494).
  • Nott'm Forest is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Nott'm Forest
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Chelsea

Green = favours Chelsea · Blue = favours Nott'm Forest. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
ChelseaLLLLL0 ppg
Nott'm ForestDWDWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Chelsea1499
Nott'm Forest1494
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 29% · 36%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning31% · 24% · 45%

AI match preview

Chelsea host Nottingham Forest in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 52%, though a draw or an away victory remain plausible outcomes. Both teams are projected to score, with a 55% chance of both sides finding the net and an expected tight scoreline around 1-1. With under 2.5 goals marginally more likely than over, this match could hinge on fine margins; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.29 – 1.34

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stamford Bridge London, England Capacity 40,173 · grass
Overcast · 16.8°C
Feels like 15.7°C Wind 6 km/h Rain chance 35%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Chelsea 1–3 Nott'm Forest
Oct 2025 Nott'm Forest 0–3 Chelsea