Everton vs Man City Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Mon 4 May, 21:00
Everton
33 Full time
Man City
Everton 3–3 Man City

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (60%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 19%
Draw 21%
Away 60%

💡 Man City are favourites — about 60 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Medium · 71.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 71.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1499 v 1655 Man City rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Everton v Man City

Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.

Why we predict this

  • Man City is the stronger side on Power Rating (1655 vs 1499).
  • Man City is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Man City
Form Index
Man City
Goal expectation
Man City
Home advantage
Everton

Green = favours Everton · Blue = favours Man City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
EvertonLWDLL0.8 ppg
Man CityDDWWW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Everton1499
Man City1655
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model21% · 28% · 51%
Power Rating30% · 19% · 51%
Machine-learning22% · 17% · 62%

AI match preview

Everton host Man City in a Premier League clash where the visitors hold a 60% chance of victory, according to the model, with a confidence level of 71/100. Despite Man City’s edge, the most probable scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a balanced contest with expected goals of 0.94 for Everton and 1.59 for Man City. With a 46% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance for both teams to score, this match could see competitive action on both ends. Remember, these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.59

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 46%

Under 54%

Both teams to score

Yes 50%

No 50%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Hill Dickinson Stadium Liverpool, England Capacity 52,888 · grass
Partly cloudy · 11.9°C
Feels like 9.2°C Wind 12 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Everton 3–3 Man City
Oct 2025 Man City 2–0 Everton