Liverpool vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sat 9 May, 13:30
Liverpool
11 Full time
Chelsea
Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (50%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 50%
Draw 24%
Away 26%

💡 Liverpool are favourites — about 50 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 57.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 57.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1553 v 1479 Liverpool rated higher
Form Index 1.8 v 0 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Liverpool v Chelsea

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Why we predict this

  • Liverpool is the stronger side on Power Rating (1553 vs 1479).
  • Liverpool is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Liverpool
Form Index
Liverpool
Goal expectation
Liverpool
Home advantage
Liverpool

Green = favours Liverpool · Blue = favours Chelsea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LiverpoolLWWWL1.8 ppg
ChelseaLLLLL0 ppg
Power Rating
Liverpool1553
Chelsea1479
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 26% · 32%
Power Rating59% · 14% · 27%
Machine-learning58% · 28% · 13%

AI match preview

Liverpool host Chelsea in a Premier League clash where the model gives the home side a 50% chance of victory, with draws and away wins at 24% and 26% respectively. Expected goals suggest a tight contest (1.71 for Liverpool vs. 1.48 for Chelsea), with the most likely scoreline being a 1-1 draw despite Liverpool's slight edge. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also probable outcomes, with respective probabilities of 62% and 65%. Remember, these are statistical projections and all betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.48

Most likely score

1-1

12% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 62%

Under 38%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Anfield Liverpool, England Capacity 61,276 · grass
Overcast · 14.8°C
Feels like 13.7°C Wind 6 km/h Rain chance 41%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Liverpool 1–1 Chelsea
Oct 2025 Chelsea 2–1 Liverpool