Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 10 May, 15:00
Nott'm Forest
11 Full time
Newcastle
Nott'm Forest 1–1 Newcastle

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 27%
Away 35%

💡 Nott'm Forest have a slight edge — leaning Nott'm Forest, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1514 v 1482 Nott'm Forest rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 0.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Nott'm Forest v Newcastle

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1514 vs 1482).
  • Nott'm Forest is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Nott'm Forest
Form Index
Nott'm Forest
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Nott'm Forest

Green = favours Nott'm Forest · Blue = favours Newcastle. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
Nott'm ForestWDWWW2.6 ppg
NewcastleLLLLW0.6 ppg
Power Rating
Nott'm Forest1514
Newcastle1482
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model33% · 35% · 33%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning57% · 28% · 15%

AI match preview

Nottingham Forest and Newcastle are set for a tightly contested Premier League clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% versus 35% for an away win. Both teams are projected to score just under one expected goal each, making a 0-0 draw the most probable outcome. With only a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and 41% probability of both teams scoring, this match could well be a cautious, low-scoring affair; remember these are statistical projections and please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.98 – 0.99

Most likely score

0-0

16% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 31%

Under 69%

Both teams to score

Yes 41%

No 59%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

The City Ground Nottingham, England Capacity 30,404 · grass
Partly cloudy · 13.4°C
Feels like 8.8°C Wind 17 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Nott'm Forest 1–1 Newcastle
Oct 2025 Newcastle 2–0 Nott'm Forest