Tottenham vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Mon 11 May, 21:00
Tottenham
11 Full time
Leeds
Tottenham 1–1 Leeds

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 25%
Away 32%

💡 Tottenham have a slight edge — leaning Tottenham, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1426 v 1507 Leeds rated higher
Form Index 1.4 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Tottenham v Leeds

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Why we predict this

  • Leeds is the stronger side on Power Rating (1507 vs 1426).
  • Leeds is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 1.4 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leeds
Form Index
Leeds
Goal expectation
Leeds
Home advantage
Tottenham

Green = favours Tottenham · Blue = favours Leeds. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
TottenhamLLDWW1.4 ppg
LeedsDWWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
Tottenham1426
Leeds1507
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model34% · 27% · 39%
Power Rating36% · 26% · 39%
Machine-learning33% · 19% · 48%

AI match preview

Tottenham host Leeds in a Premier League clash where the model gives the home side a 43% chance of victory, though a draw or an away win remain realistic outcomes. The expected goals are close, with Tottenham at 1.44 and Leeds at 1.56, hinting at a competitive match likely to produce goals, supported by a 62% probability of both teams scoring. While a 1-1 draw is the most likely scoreline, the 58% chance of over 2.5 goals suggests attacking play from both sides; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.56

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium London, England Capacity 62,850 · grass
Mainly clear · 9.8°C
Feels like 6°C Wind 12 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Tottenham 1–1 Leeds
Oct 2025 Leeds 1–2 Tottenham