Leeds vs Brighton Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 16:00
Leeds
10 Full time
Brighton
Leeds 1–0 Brighton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (39%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 35%
Draw 26%
Away 39%

💡 Brighton have a slight edge — leaning Brighton, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1506 v 1538 Brighton rated higher
Form Index 2.2 v 2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 0%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1506 vs 1538).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Brighton
Form Index
Leeds
Goal expectation
Leeds
Home advantage
Leeds

Green = favours Leeds · Blue = favours Brighton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeedsWWDWD2.2 ppg
BrightonWDWLW2 ppg
Power Rating
Leeds1506
Brighton1538
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 29% · 29%
Power Rating42% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning44% · 22% · 35%

AI match preview

Leeds and Brighton are set for a closely contested Premier League clash, with the model slightly favoring an away win at 39% probability over a home victory at 35%. Expected goals suggest a tight encounter (1.43 for Leeds, 1.17 for Brighton), and the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, supported by a 54% chance of both teams scoring. With under 50% probability for over 2.5 goals, this match could hinge on fine margins; remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 48%

Under 52%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Elland Road Leeds, England Capacity 37,792 · grass
Overcast · 14.3°C
Feels like 10.6°C Wind 15 km/h Rain chance 20%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Leeds 1–0 Brighton
Nov 2025 Brighton 3–0 Leeds