Newcastle vs West Ham Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 17 May, 18:30
Newcastle
31 Full time
West Ham
Newcastle 3–1 West Ham

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (49%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 49%
Draw 24%
Away 27%

💡 Newcastle are favourites — about 49 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 55.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 55.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1485 v 1441 Newcastle rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 1.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Newcastle v West Ham

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Why we predict this

  • Newcastle is the stronger side on Power Rating (1485 vs 1441).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Newcastle
Form Index
West Ham
Goal expectation
Newcastle
Home advantage
Newcastle

Green = favours Newcastle · Blue = favours West Ham. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
NewcastleLLLWD0.8 ppg
West HamWDWLL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Newcastle1485
West Ham1441
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model53% · 24% · 23%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning50% · 30% · 20%

AI match preview

Newcastle holds a 49% probability of securing a home win against West Ham, with the model projecting an expected goals tally of 2.04 to 1.31 in their favor. Despite the slight edge for Newcastle, the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, reflecting a competitive encounter. With a 65% chance for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, fans can anticipate an open game; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.04 – 1.31

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 65%

Under 35%

Both teams to score

Yes 65%

No 35%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

St James' Park Newcastle, England Capacity 52,305 · grass
Light drizzle · 13.4°C
Feels like 9.2°C Wind 18 km/h Rain chance 46%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Newcastle 3–1 West Ham
Nov 2025 West Ham 3–1 Newcastle