Bournemouth vs Man City Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Tue 19 May, 20:30
Bournemouth
11 Full time
Man City
Bournemouth 1–1 Man City

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (52%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 26%
Draw 22%
Away 52%

💡 Man City are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 59.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1557 v 1668 Man City rated higher
Form Index 2.6 v 2.6 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Bournemouth v Man City

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Why we predict this

  • Man City is the stronger side on Power Rating (1668 vs 1557).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Man City
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Man City
Home advantage
Bournemouth

Green = favours Bournemouth · Blue = favours Man City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BournemouthWWDWW2.6 ppg
Man CityWWDWW2.6 ppg
Power Rating
Bournemouth1557
Man City1668
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model29% · 29% · 42%
Power Rating34% · 23% · 44%
Machine-learning31% · 17% · 52%

AI match preview

Bournemouth hosts Manchester City in a Premier League clash where the visitors hold a 52% chance of taking all three points, though a draw remains a plausible outcome at 22%. The model predicts a closely contested match with expected goals of 1.19 for Bournemouth and 1.45 for Man City, suggesting a tight scoreline, most likely 1-1. With a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% chance both teams score, this encounter promises competitive action; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.45

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 49%

Under 51%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Vitality Stadium Bournemouth, England Capacity 11,307 · grass
Partly cloudy · 13.8°C
Feels like 10.4°C Wind 25 km/h Rain chance 1%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Bournemouth 1–1 Man City
Nov 2025 Man City 3–1 Bournemouth