Burnley vs Wolves Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 24 May, 17:00
Burnley
11 Full time
Wolves
Burnley 1–1 Wolves

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 26%
Away 31%

💡 Burnley have a slight edge — leaning Burnley, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1330 v 1346 Wolves rated higher
Form Index 0.2 v 0.4 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1330 vs 1346).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.2 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wolves
Form Index
Wolves
Goal expectation
Burnley
Home advantage
Burnley

Green = favours Burnley · Blue = favours Wolves. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BurnleyLLLDL0.2 ppg
WolvesLLDLD0.4 ppg
Power Rating
Burnley1330
Wolves1346
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model49% · 34% · 18%
Power Rating44% · 23% · 33%
Machine-learning45% · 20% · 34%

AI match preview

Burnley are narrowly favored to edge Wolves at home with a 43% chance of victory, supported by an expected goals advantage of 1.20 to 0.62. The model suggests a tight contest, most likely finishing 1-0 in favor of Burnley, while the probabilities for a draw or Wolves win remain significant. With low chances for over 2.5 goals (28%) and both teams to score (34%), this could be a closely contested, low-scoring encounter—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.20 – 0.62

Most likely score

1-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 34%

No 66%

Value bet vs odds

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Burnley 1–1 Wolves
Oct 2025 Wolves 2–3 Burnley