Sunderland vs Chelsea Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 24 May, 17:00
Sunderland
21 Full time
Chelsea
Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 34%
Draw 27%
Away 40%

💡 Chelsea have a slight edge — leaning Chelsea, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 41.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 41.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1478 v 1491 Chelsea rated higher
Form Index 1 v 0.8 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Sunderland v Chelsea

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1478 vs 1491).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Chelsea
Form Index
Sunderland
Goal expectation
Chelsea
Home advantage
Sunderland

Green = favours Sunderland · Blue = favours Chelsea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SunderlandLLDDW1 ppg
ChelseaLLLDW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Sunderland1478
Chelsea1491
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model30% · 29% · 41%
Power Rating45% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning44% · 32% · 24%

AI match preview

Sunderland welcome Chelsea in a Premier League clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 40%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with 1.21 for Sunderland and 1.45 for Chelsea, aligning with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and 55% probability of both teams scoring, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.21 – 1.45

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 50%

Under 50%

Both teams to score

Yes 55%

No 45%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

Stadium of Light Sunderland, England Capacity 49,000 · grass
Clear · 23.6°C
Feels like 21.7°C Wind 10 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 Sunderland 2–1 Chelsea
Oct 2025 Chelsea 1–2 Sunderland