West Ham vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League 25/26 · Sun 24 May, 17:00
West Ham
30 Full time
Leeds
West Ham 3–0 Leeds

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (45%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 45%
Draw 23%
Away 32%

💡 West Ham have a slight edge — leaning West Ham, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1430 v 1516 Leeds rated higher
Form Index 0.8 v 2.2 ppg, last 5
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Leeds is the stronger side on Power Rating (1516 vs 1430).
  • Leeds is in clearly better recent form (2.2 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leeds
Form Index
Leeds
Goal expectation
West Ham
Home advantage
West Ham

Green = favours West Ham · Blue = favours Leeds. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
West HamDWLLL0.8 ppg
LeedsWDWDW2.2 ppg
Power Rating
West Ham1430
Leeds1516
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 27% · 35%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 40%
Machine-learning29% · 17% · 54%

AI match preview

West Ham and Leeds are set for a closely contested Premier League clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 45%, though a draw and away win remain well within reach. The expected goals tally suggests a tight encounter, with a 1-1 scoreline as the most probable outcome despite West Ham’s slight advantage. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also notable possibilities, highlighting an entertaining match ahead; remember, these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.47

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 58%

Under 42%

Both teams to score

Yes 62%

No 38%

Value bet vs odds

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Stadium & conditions

London Stadium London, England Capacity 62,500 · grass
Clear · 30.6°C
Feels like 30.8°C Wind 14 km/h Rain chance 0%

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

May 2026 West Ham 3–0 Leeds
Oct 2025 Leeds 2–1 West Ham