Millwall vs Bristol City Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Mon 29 Dec, 19:45
Millwall
21 Full time
Bristol City
Millwall 2–1 Bristol City

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (37%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 37%
Draw 29%
Away 34%

💡 Millwall have a slight edge — leaning Millwall, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 37.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 37.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1490 v 1533 Bristol City rated higher
Form Index WDLLD v LDLWW Millwall 1.0 · Bristol City 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Bristol City is the stronger side on Power Rating (1533 vs 1490).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Bristol City
Form Index
Bristol City
Goal expectation
Bristol City
Home advantage
Millwall

Green = favours Millwall · Blue = favours Bristol City. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MillwallWDLLD1.0 ppg
Bristol CityLDLWW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Millwall1490
Bristol City1533
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model25% · 32% · 43%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning39% · 29% · 32%

AI match preview

Millwall host Bristol City in a closely matched Championship clash where the model gives the home side a slight 37% edge over the visitors' 34%, with draws at 29%. Expected goals suggest a tight contest, projecting around 0.94 for Millwall and 1.30 for Bristol City, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline. With under 40% probability for over 2.5 goals and just under half for both teams to score, this game looks finely poised—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.94 – 1.30

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

MillwallBristol City
5.0 Corners 5.2
1.9 Cards 1.7
12.9 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Dec 2025 Millwall 2–1 Bristol City
Dec 2025 Bristol City 0–1 Millwall