Oxford vs Swansea Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Mon 29 Dec, 19:45
Oxford
01 Full time
Swansea
Oxford 0–1 Swansea

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (40%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 40%
Draw 29%
Away 32%

💡 Oxford have a slight edge — leaning Oxford, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 42.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1450 v 1457 Swansea rated higher
Form Index LDLLW v WWLWL Oxford 0.8 · Swansea 1.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Oxford v Swansea

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1450 vs 1457).
  • Swansea is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Swansea
Goal expectation
Oxford
Home advantage
Oxford

Green = favours Oxford · Blue = favours Swansea. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
OxfordLDLLW0.8 ppg
SwanseaWWLWL1.8 ppg
Power Rating
Oxford1450
Swansea1457
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 32% · 30%
Power Rating46% · 22% · 33%
Machine-learning48% · 30% · 22%

AI match preview

Oxford host Swansea in a closely matched Championship clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 40%, though a draw or away victory remain well within reach. Both teams are expected to score, with the most likely outcome a 1-1 draw, reflecting balanced attacking potential and a 47% chance of goals at both ends. While under 2.5 goals looks more probable, this tight contest could still swing either way—these projections are statistical estimates and should be used responsibly when considering bets (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.19 – 1.05

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 39%

Under 61%

Both teams to score

Yes 47%

No 53%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 92+ matches)

OxfordSwansea
3.8 Corners 4.9
1.7 Cards 1.9
10.6 Fouls 10.2

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Dec 2025 Oxford 0–1 Swansea
Dec 2025 Swansea 2–0 Oxford