Portsmouth vs Charlton Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Mon 29 Dec, 19:45
Portsmouth
21 Full time
Charlton
Portsmouth 2–1 Charlton

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (41%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 41%
Draw 30%
Away 30%

💡 Portsmouth have a slight edge — leaning Portsmouth, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 43.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 43.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1444 v 1468 Charlton rated higher
Form Index LLWDD v LLDWL Portsmouth 1.0 · Charlton 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1444 vs 1468).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Charlton
Form Index
Portsmouth
Goal expectation
Portsmouth
Home advantage
Portsmouth

Green = favours Portsmouth · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PortsmouthLLWDD1.0 ppg
CharltonLLDWL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Portsmouth1444
Charlton1468
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 36% · 25%
Power Rating43% · 23% · 34%
Machine-learning44% · 27% · 29%

AI match preview

Portsmouth hosts Charlton in a Championship clash where the home side holds a slight edge with a 41% chance of victory, compared to 30% for a draw or away win. The model projects a low-scoring encounter, with expected goals favoring Portsmouth 1.04 to 0.78 and the most likely scoreline at 0-0. With under 2.5 goals and both teams not scoring as the more probable outcomes, fans should anticipate a tight contest; remember these statistical projections are not certainties and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.04 – 0.78

Most likely score

0-0

18% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 28%

Under 72%

Both teams to score

Yes 37%

No 63%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

PortsmouthCharlton
5.6 Corners 4.1
2.2 Cards 2.1
11.1 Fouls 12.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Feb 2026 Charlton 1–3 Portsmouth
Dec 2025 Portsmouth 2–1 Charlton