Stoke vs Sheffield United Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Mon 29 Dec, 19:45
Stoke
12 Full time
Sheffield United
Stoke 1–2 Sheffield United

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 26%
Away 30%

💡 Stoke have a slight edge — leaning Stoke, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1515 v 1480 Stoke rated higher
Form Index LLWLD v WDLWL Stoke 0.8 · Sheffield United 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1515 vs 1480).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (2.0 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stoke
Form Index
Sheffield United
Goal expectation
Stoke
Home advantage
Stoke

Green = favours Stoke · Blue = favours Sheffield United. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StokeLLWLD0.8 ppg
Sheffield UnitedWDLWL1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Stoke1515
Sheffield United1480
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model62% · 23% · 15%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning47% · 32% · 21%

AI match preview

Stoke holds a 44% chance of victory against Sheffield United, with the model suggesting a competitive encounter where a draw is also a strong possibility at 26%. Expected goals favor Stoke at 2.02 compared to Sheffield United’s 0.90, yet the most common predicted scoreline is a 1-1 draw. With over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 53%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.02 – 0.90

Most likely score

1-1

11% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 56%

Under 44%

Both teams to score

Yes 53%

No 47%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

StokeSheffield United
5.4 Corners 5.4
2.2 Cards 2.1
11.6 Fouls 10.9

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Dec 2025 Stoke 1–2 Sheffield United
Dec 2025 Sheffield United 4–0 Stoke