Wrexham vs Preston Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Mon 29 Dec, 19:45
Wrexham
21 Full time
Preston
Wrexham 2–1 Preston

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 27%
Away 30%

💡 Wrexham have a slight edge — leaning Wrexham, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 45.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 45.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1517 v 1543 Preston rated higher
Form Index DLDLW v DDWDD Wrexham 1.0 · Preston 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1517 vs 1543).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Preston
Form Index
Preston
Goal expectation
Preston
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Preston. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamDLDLW1.0 ppg
PrestonDDWDD1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1517
Preston1543
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 28% · 40%
Power Rating43% · 24% · 34%
Machine-learning47% · 28% · 26%

AI match preview

Wrexham and Preston are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving Wrexham a 43% chance to edge out a win, while a draw and away victory stand at 27% and 30% respectively. The expected goals suggest a tight game with both sides likely to find the net, as reflected in a most probable 1-1 scoreline and a 59% chance for BTTS. Over 2.5 goals is slightly favored at 54%, indicating potential for an open encounter, but all projections are statistical estimates—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.51

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 54%

Under 46%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

WrexhamPreston
4.5 Corners 4.2
1.6 Cards 2.3
9.7 Fouls 11.9

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Dec 2025 Wrexham 2–1 Preston
Dec 2025 Preston 1–1 Wrexham