Hull vs Stoke Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Thu 1 Jan, 15:00
Hull
01 Full time
Stoke
Hull 0–1 Stoke

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (44%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 44%
Draw 26%
Away 30%

💡 Hull have a slight edge — leaning Hull, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 48.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 48.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1544 v 1501 Hull rated higher
Form Index WWWDW v LWLDL Hull 2.6 · Stoke 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Hull v Stoke

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Why we predict this

  • Hull is the stronger side on Power Rating (1544 vs 1501).
  • Hull is in clearly better recent form (2.6 vs 0.8 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hull
Form Index
Hull
Goal expectation
Hull
Home advantage
Hull

Green = favours Hull · Blue = favours Stoke. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
HullWWWDW2.6 ppg
StokeLWLDL0.8 ppg
Power Rating
Hull1544
Stoke1501
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model37% · 31% · 33%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning49% · 22% · 29%

AI match preview

Hull and Stoke are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving Hull a slight edge at 44% to claim victory, while a draw stands at 26% and Stoke wins at 30%. Both teams are expected to score, with a 51% chance of BTTS and an anticipated most likely scoreline of 1-1, reflecting a tight encounter with just over one goal each on average. Over 2.5 goals is less likely at 44%, suggesting a moderately paced game; remember these projections are statistical estimates and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 1.17

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 44%

Under 56%

Both teams to score

Yes 51%

No 49%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

HullStoke
5.0 Corners 5.4
2.1 Cards 2.2
11.0 Fouls 11.6

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Hull 0–1 Stoke
Nov 2025 Stoke 1–2 Hull