Blackburn vs Charlton Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sun 4 Jan, 15:00
Blackburn
22 Full time
Charlton
Blackburn 2–2 Charlton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 43%
Draw 29%
Away 28%

💡 Blackburn have a slight edge — leaning Blackburn, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 46.8/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 46.8
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1467 v 1461 Blackburn rated higher
Form Index LWDDL v DWLLD Blackburn 1.0 · Charlton 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1467 vs 1461).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Even
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Even
Home advantage
Blackburn

Green = favours Blackburn · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
BlackburnLWDDL1.0 ppg
CharltonDWLLD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Blackburn1467
Charlton1461
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model32% · 34% · 34%
Power Rating48% · 21% · 32%
Machine-learning43% · 29% · 28%

AI match preview

Blackburn and Charlton are set for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Blackburn at 43%, while a draw and an away win remain realistic outcomes. Both sides are projected to score around one goal each, making a 1-1 draw the most probable scoreline despite the home win pick. With only a 33% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% probability for both teams to score, expect a tight game—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

0.99 – 1.04

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 33%

Under 67%

Both teams to score

Yes 42%

No 58%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

BlackburnCharlton
4.9 Corners 4.1
2.1 Cards 2.1
11.2 Fouls 12.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Blackburn 2–2 Charlton
Sept 2025 Charlton 3–0 Blackburn