West Brom vs Middlesbrough Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Fri 16 Jan, 20:00
West Brom
23 Full time
Middlesbrough
West Brom 2–3 Middlesbrough

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (38%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 38%
Draw 28%
Away 34%

💡 West Brom have a slight edge — leaning West Brom, but it's close.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 39.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 39.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1458 v 1551 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index LLWLL v LDLLW West Brom 0.6 · Middlesbrough 0.8 ppg
Model Consensus 67%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough is the stronger side on Power Rating (1551 vs 1458).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
West Brom
Home advantage
West Brom

Green = favours West Brom · Blue = favours Middlesbrough. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
West BromLLWLL0.6 ppg
MiddlesbroughLDLLW0.8 ppg
Power Rating
West Brom1458
Middlesbrough1551
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model36% · 33% · 32%
Power Rating35% · 25% · 41%
Machine-learning44% · 26% · 30%

AI match preview

West Brom and Middlesbrough are poised for a closely contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to the home side at 38% compared to 34% for the visitors. Both teams are expected to produce a tight game, reflected in the predicted 1-1 scoreline and a modest expected goals tally just above one each. While the chances of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring stand at 37% and 46% respectively, these projections highlight the balanced nature of the matchup—please remember to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.14 – 1.05

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 37%

Under 63%

Both teams to score

Yes 46%

No 54%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

West BromMiddlesbrough
5.4 Corners 6.0
1.7 Cards 1.6
9.3 Fouls 9.8

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

The Hawthorns West Bromwich, England Capacity 26,688 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 West Brom 2–3 Middlesbrough
Sept 2025 Middlesbrough 2–1 West Brom