✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (43%); it finished a away win.
What our model predicted
💡 Preston have a slight edge — leaning Preston, but it's close.
Back or counter the AI on Preston v Derby
Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.
Why we predict this
- Preston is the stronger side on Power Rating (1561 vs 1494).
- Preston is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
- All 3 model components agree on this outcome.
What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours
Green = favours Preston · Blue = favours Derby. The model blends these into the probabilities above.
AI match preview
Preston hosts Derby in a tightly poised Championship clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 43%, though a draw and away victory remain realistic outcomes. Expected goals are close, with Preston edging 1.31 to 1.19, and the most likely scoreline predicted as 1-1, reflecting the match’s balanced nature. With just a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% probability for both teams to score, this game could hinge on fine margins—remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).
Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.
Match predictions
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.19
Most likely score
1-1
14% likely
Over/Under 2.5
Over 45%
Under 55%
Both teams to score
Yes 52%
No 48%
Value bet vs odds
Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.
Go PremiumSeason averages (per game · last 92+ matches)
Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.
Unlock advanced player analysis
You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.