Southampton vs Hull Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 15:00
Southampton
12 Full time
Hull
Southampton 1–2 Hull

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 25%
Away 24%

💡 Southampton are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.6/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.6
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1496 v 1529 Hull rated higher
Form Index DLDDL v WWDWL Southampton 0.6 · Hull 2.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Southampton v Hull

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1496 vs 1529).
  • Hull is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 0.6 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Hull
Form Index
Hull
Goal expectation
Southampton
Home advantage
Southampton

Green = favours Southampton · Blue = favours Hull. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
SouthamptonDLDDL0.6 ppg
HullWWDWL2.0 ppg
Power Rating
Southampton1496
Hull1529
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model41% · 28% · 32%
Power Rating41% · 24% · 35%
Machine-learning47% · 32% · 21%

AI match preview

Southampton hosts Hull in a Championship clash where the home side holds a slight 51% edge for victory, with the model indicating a moderate 58.6/100 confidence in that outcome. Both teams are projected to score, with an expected goals tally of 1.55 for Southampton and 1.35 for Hull, making a 1-1 draw the most probable exact score despite the home win preference. Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score are also likely scenarios, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.55 – 1.35

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 55%

Under 45%

Both teams to score

Yes 60%

No 40%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 130+ matches)

SouthamptonHull
5.8 Corners 5.0
2.1 Cards 2.1
10.7 Fouls 11.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

St Mary's Stadium Southampton, England Capacity 32,384 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Southampton 1–2 Hull
Sept 2025 Hull 3–1 Southampton