Stoke vs QPR Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 17 Jan, 15:00
Stoke
00 Full time
QPR
Stoke 0–0 QPR

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (48%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 48%
Draw 27%
Away 25%

💡 Stoke are favourites — about 48 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 53.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 53.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1532 v 1497 Stoke rated higher
Form Index LDLWW v WDLLW Stoke 1.4 · QPR 1.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1532 vs 1497).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Stoke
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Stoke
Home advantage
Stoke

Green = favours Stoke · Blue = favours QPR. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
StokeLDLWW1.4 ppg
QPRWDLLW1.4 ppg
Power Rating
Stoke1532
QPR1497
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model57% · 27% · 17%
Power Rating53% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning43% · 31% · 26%

AI match preview

Stoke host QPR in a closely contested Championship clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 48%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. Expected goals suggest Stoke could edge the game offensively (1.72 vs 0.84), yet the most likely scoreline is a 1-1 stalemate, reflecting the balanced nature of this fixture. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring each hovering around 47-48%, fans should anticipate a tight encounter; remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.72 – 0.84

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 47%

Under 53%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

StokeQPR
5.4 Corners 5.1
2.2 Cards 2.0
11.6 Fouls 11.3

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Stoke 0–0 QPR
Sept 2025 QPR 1–0 Stoke