✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Draw (30%); it finished a away win.
What our model predicted
💡 Too close to call — almost a coin-flip.
Back or counter the AI on Charlton v Derby
Agree with our pick or fade it — lock your call and earn points. Free to play, no stakes.
Why we predict this
- Closely matched on Power Rating (1474 vs 1509).
- Model components are split — lower conviction.
What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours
Green = favours Charlton · Blue = favours Derby. The model blends these into the probabilities above.
AI match preview
Charlton and Derby are set for a tightly contested Championship clash, with the model giving a slight edge to Charlton at 36%, closely followed by Derby at 34%, and a draw at 30%. The expected goals suggest a low-scoring affair around 1-1, which the model also identifies as the most probable scoreline. With under 50% probabilities for both over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, this match could hinge on fine margins—remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).
Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.
Match predictions
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.24
Most likely score
1-1
15% likely
Over/Under 2.5
Over 40%
Under 60%
Both teams to score
Yes 47%
No 53%
Value bet vs odds
Unlock expected goals, correct score, BTTS, over/under, alternative markets and AI value bets.
Go PremiumSeason averages (per game · last 46+ matches)
Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.
Unlock advanced player analysis
You don't own any SwiftSquad cards yet, so the extra ratings, form & deep-stat breakdowns for these players are locked. Create a free account and open a pack to collect players — every card you own unlocks its advanced analysis across the site. New free packs daily.