Wrexham vs Leicester Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Tue 20 Jan, 20:00
Wrexham
11 Full time
Leicester
Wrexham 1–1 Leicester

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (46%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 46%
Draw 25%
Away 30%

💡 Wrexham are favourites — about 46 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 49.9/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 49.9
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1540 v 1494 Wrexham rated higher
Form Index WWWWL v LWLWL Wrexham 2.4 · Leicester 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Wrexham is the stronger side on Power Rating (1540 vs 1494).
  • Wrexham is in clearly better recent form (2.4 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Wrexham
Form Index
Wrexham
Goal expectation
Wrexham
Home advantage
Wrexham

Green = favours Wrexham · Blue = favours Leicester. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
WrexhamWWWWL2.4 ppg
LeicesterLWLWL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Wrexham1540
Leicester1494
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model48% · 23% · 29%
Power Rating54% · 17% · 29%
Machine-learning41% · 27% · 32%

AI match preview

Wrexham hosts Leicester in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors a home win at 46%, though a draw and away victory remain plausible outcomes. With expected goals of 2.10 for Wrexham and 1.61 for Leicester, the match is projected to be competitive, and a 1-1 scoreline is considered the most likely result. High probabilities for over 2.5 goals (72%) and both teams scoring (71%) suggest an open game, but remember these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

2.10 – 1.61

Most likely score

1-1

9% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 72%

Under 28%

Both teams to score

Yes 71%

No 29%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

WrexhamLeicester
4.5 Corners 4.9
1.6 Cards 2.0
9.7 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Wrexham 1–1 Leicester
Sept 2025 Leicester 1–1 Wrexham