Middlesbrough vs Preston Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 12:30
Middlesbrough
40 Full time
Preston
Middlesbrough 4–0 Preston

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 24%
Away 22%

💡 Middlesbrough are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.0/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.0
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1574 v 1523 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index LLWWW v LWWLL Middlesbrough 1.8 · Preston 1.2 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Middlesbrough v Preston

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough is the stronger side on Power Rating (1574 vs 1523).
  • Middlesbrough is in clearly better recent form (1.8 vs 1.2 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Middlesbrough
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Preston. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughLLWWW1.8 ppg
PrestonLWWLL1.2 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1574
Preston1523
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model38% · 33% · 29%
Power Rating55% · 17% · 28%
Machine-learning46% · 28% · 27%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough hold a slight edge in this Championship clash against Preston, with a 55% probability of securing a home win and an expected goals tally of 1.16 compared to Preston’s 0.98. Despite the home advantage, the model suggests a closely contested match, with a 1-1 draw as the most likely scoreline. Fans can anticipate a moderate chance of both teams scoring (45%) and a lower likelihood of more than 2.5 goals (36%). Remember, these are statistical projections—please gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.16 – 0.98

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 36%

Under 64%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

MiddlesbroughPreston
6.0 Corners 4.2
1.6 Cards 2.3
9.8 Fouls 11.9

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Middlesbrough 4–0 Preston
Sept 2025 Preston 2–2 Middlesbrough