Millwall vs Charlton Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 12:30
Millwall
40 Full time
Charlton
Millwall 4–0 Charlton

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (51%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 51%
Draw 25%
Away 23%

💡 Millwall are favourites — about 51 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 58.2/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 58.2
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1525 v 1462 Millwall rated higher
Form Index WDWWL v LDDWL Millwall 2.0 · Charlton 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Millwall is the stronger side on Power Rating (1525 vs 1462).
  • Millwall is in clearly better recent form (2.0 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Millwall
Form Index
Millwall
Goal expectation
Millwall
Home advantage
Millwall

Green = favours Millwall · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MillwallWDWWL2.0 ppg
CharltonLDDWL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Millwall1525
Charlton1462
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model42% · 32% · 26%
Power Rating57% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning43% · 27% · 30%

AI match preview

Millwall host Charlton in a Championship clash where the model gives the home side a 51% chance to win, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 25%. Expected goals suggest a tight contest with Millwall slightly ahead (1.26 to 0.94), and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, reflecting the balanced nature of this fixture. With only a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams scoring, fans can anticipate a competitive match; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.26 – 0.94

Most likely score

1-1

15% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 38%

Under 62%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%

No 55%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

MillwallCharlton
5.0 Corners 4.1
1.9 Cards 2.1
12.9 Fouls 12.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Millwall 4–0 Charlton
Sept 2025 Charlton 1–1 Millwall