Leicester vs Oxford Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 24 Jan, 15:00
Leicester
12 Full time
Oxford
Leicester 1–2 Oxford

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 25%
Away 23%

💡 Leicester are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1498 v 1433 Leicester rated higher
Form Index WLWLD v WLLDD Leicester 1.4 · Oxford 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Leicester is the stronger side on Power Rating (1498 vs 1433).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leicester
Form Index
Leicester
Goal expectation
Leicester
Home advantage
Leicester

Green = favours Leicester · Blue = favours Oxford. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeicesterWLWLD1.4 ppg
OxfordWLLDD1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Leicester1498
Oxford1433
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model46% · 30% · 24%
Power Rating57% · 15% · 27%
Machine-learning54% · 26% · 21%

AI match preview

Leicester holds a slight edge with a 52% chance of victory over Oxford in this Championship clash, though a draw remains a plausible 25% outcome. The expected goals suggest a moderately competitive match, with Leicester projected to score 1.43 and Oxford 0.95, aligning closely with the most likely scoreline of 1-1. With under 2.5 goals and both teams scoring probabilities hovering below 50%, this game could be tightly contested; remember, these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.43 – 0.95

Most likely score

1-1

14% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 43%

Under 57%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 92+ matches)

LeicesterOxford
4.9 Corners 3.8
2.0 Cards 1.7
10.7 Fouls 10.6

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

King Power Stadium Leicester, England Capacity 32,261 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Leicester 1–2 Oxford
Sept 2025 Oxford 2–2 Leicester