Portsmouth vs Southampton Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sun 25 Jan, 12:00
Portsmouth
11 Full time
Southampton
Portsmouth 1–1 Southampton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Away win (40%); it finished a draw.

What our model predicted

Home 33%
Draw 27%
Away 40%

💡 Southampton have a slight edge — leaning Southampton, but it's close.

Our pickAway win
SwiftScore Low · 42.5/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 42.5
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1454 v 1494 Southampton rated higher
Form Index DWLWD v DDLLW Portsmouth 1.6 · Southampton 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 33%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Portsmouth v Southampton

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1454 vs 1494).
  • Portsmouth is in clearly better recent form (1.6 vs 1.0 pts/game).
  • Model components are split — lower conviction.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Southampton
Form Index
Portsmouth
Goal expectation
Portsmouth
Home advantage
Portsmouth

Green = favours Portsmouth · Blue = favours Southampton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
PortsmouthDWLWD1.6 ppg
SouthamptonDDLLW1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Portsmouth1454
Southampton1494
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model39% · 28% · 33%
Power Rating40% · 25% · 35%
Machine-learning32% · 27% · 40%

AI match preview

Portsmouth hosts Southampton in a Championship clash where the model slightly favors an away win at 40%, though the confidence level sits at a moderate 42.5 out of 100. The expected goals are close, with Portsmouth at 1.48 and Southampton at 1.34, suggesting a tight contest potentially ending in a 1-1 draw. With over 2.5 goals at 53% and both teams to score at 59%, fans can anticipate an open game, but remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.34

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 53%

Under 47%

Both teams to score

Yes 59%

No 41%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 92+ matches)

PortsmouthSouthampton
5.6 Corners 5.8
2.2 Cards 2.1
11.1 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Portsmouth 1–1 Southampton
Sept 2025 Southampton 0–0 Portsmouth