Leicester vs Charlton Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 31 Jan, 12:30
Leicester
02 Full time
Charlton
Leicester 0–2 Charlton

✗ Our AI missed this one — we predicted Home win (52%); it finished a away win.

What our model predicted

Home 52%
Draw 26%
Away 23%

💡 Leicester are favourites — about 52 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Low · 59.1/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 59.1
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1483 v 1449 Leicester rated higher
Form Index LWLDL v DDWLL Leicester 0.8 · Charlton 1.0 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

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Why we predict this

  • Closely matched on Power Rating (1483 vs 1449).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.6 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Leicester
Form Index
Charlton
Goal expectation
Leicester
Home advantage
Leicester

Green = favours Leicester · Blue = favours Charlton. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
LeicesterLWLDL0.8 ppg
CharltonDDWLL1.0 ppg
Power Rating
Leicester1483
Charlton1449
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model52% · 28% · 20%
Power Rating52% · 18% · 30%
Machine-learning57% · 25% · 17%

AI match preview

Leicester holds a slight edge with a 52% chance of victory against Charlton in this Championship clash, backed by an expected goals advantage of 1.58 to 0.88. Despite the home team's statistical lead, the model suggests a closely contested match with a 26% draw probability and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. With under 50% probabilities for both over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, this game could hinge on tight defenses and key moments—remember, these projections are based on data and all betting should be done responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.58 – 0.88

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 45%

Under 55%

Both teams to score

Yes 48%

No 52%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 46+ matches)

LeicesterCharlton
4.9 Corners 4.1
2.0 Cards 2.1
10.7 Fouls 12.0

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Stadium & conditions

King Power Stadium Leicester, England Capacity 32,261 · grass

Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.

Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Leicester 0–2 Charlton
Aug 2025 Charlton 0–1 Leicester