Middlesbrough vs Norwich Prediction

Championship 25/26 · Sat 31 Jan, 15:00
Middlesbrough
10 Full time
Norwich
Middlesbrough 1–0 Norwich

✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Home win (55%); it finished a home win.

What our model predicted

Home 55%
Draw 23%
Away 22%

💡 Middlesbrough are favourites — about 55 times in 100.

Our pickHome win
SwiftScore Medium · 63.4/100
🔒 Locked 21 Jun · shown before kick-off, never edited
SwiftScore 63.4
/100 confidence
Power Rating 1588 v 1495 Middlesbrough rated higher
Form Index LWWWW v WLWWW Middlesbrough 2.4 · Norwich 2.4 ppg
Model Consensus 100%
models back the pick

Back or counter the AI on Middlesbrough v Norwich

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Why we predict this

  • Middlesbrough is the stronger side on Power Rating (1588 vs 1495).
  • Home attack projects well against this away defence (1.7 expected goals).
  • All 3 model components agree on this outcome.

What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours

Power Rating
Middlesbrough
Form Index
Even
Goal expectation
Middlesbrough
Home advantage
Middlesbrough

Green = favours Middlesbrough · Blue = favours Norwich. The model blends these into the probabilities above.

Form Index (last 5)
MiddlesbroughLWWWW2.4 ppg
NorwichWLWWW2.4 ppg
Power Rating
Middlesbrough1588
Norwich1495
Model Consensus (home/draw/away)
Goals model50% · 27% · 23%
Power Rating62% · 13% · 25%
Machine-learning49% · 30% · 21%

AI match preview

Middlesbrough hold a slight edge with a 55% chance of securing a home win against Norwich, though the model also suggests a draw is a plausible outcome given the 23% probability. Expected goals favor Middlesbrough at 1.66 compared to Norwich's 1.06, yet the most likely scoreline is a balanced 1-1 draw. With both teams showing a 54% chance of scoring and just over half the games projected to exceed 2.5 goals, this match promises competitive action; remember these are statistical projections and to gamble responsibly (18+).

Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.

Match predictions

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.06

Most likely score

1-1

13% likely

Over/Under 2.5

Over 51%

Under 49%

Both teams to score

Yes 54%

No 46%

Value bet vs odds

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Season averages (per game · last 138+ matches)

MiddlesbroughNorwich
6.0 Corners 5.2
1.6 Cards 1.9
9.8 Fouls 10.7

Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.

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Head-to-head (recent meetings)

Jan 2026 Middlesbrough 1–0 Norwich
Aug 2025 Norwich 1–2 Middlesbrough