✓ Our AI called it — we predicted Away win (43%); it finished a away win.
What our model predicted
💡 Ipswich have a slight edge — leaning Ipswich, but it's close.
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Why we predict this
- Ipswich is the stronger side on Power Rating (1590 vs 1542).
- Away side projects to create more (1.6 expected goals).
- Model components are split — lower conviction.
What's driving it — each bar shows which side a factor favours
Green = favours Derby · Blue = favours Ipswich. The model blends these into the probabilities above.
AI match preview
Derby host Ipswich in a closely contested Championship clash where the model slightly favors an Ipswich win at 43%, though a draw remains a strong possibility at 27%. The expected goals suggest a moderately open game, with a 1-1 scoreline the most likely outcome and a 56% chance both teams find the net. Over 2.5 goals is marginally probable at 52%, indicating a match that could see a few goals but remains finely poised—remember, these projections are statistical estimates, so please gamble responsibly (18+).
Generated by our AI writer. Informational only — 18+, gamble responsibly.
Match predictions
Expected goals
1.11 – 1.63
Most likely score
1-1
13% likely
Over/Under 2.5
Over 52%
Under 48%
Both teams to score
Yes 56%
No 44%
Value bet vs odds
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Go PremiumSeason averages (per game · last 92+ matches)
Averages of each team's own corners, cards (bookings) and fouls per game, from their recent match history.
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Stadium & conditions
Conditions can sway goals and tempo — we factor pitch & weather into the read, but football is never certain. 18+.